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海南省能源消费和碳排放预测研究
doi: 10.13205/j.hjgc.201502034
STUDY ON ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND CARBON EMISSIONS FORCAST IN HAINAN PROVINCE
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摘要: 以海南省1993—2012年能源消费总量、人口、国民生产总值和工业比重作为研究对象,应用协整理论建立它们之间的关系,并预测不同经济增长情景下2015—2020年海南省能源消费总量和能源消费结构。在此基础上,借助相关方法预测碳排放量,最后根据海南的实际情况提出减排政策建议。Abstract: The relationship among energy consumption，population，GDP and industrialization of Hainan in 1993—2012 was set up by cointegration theory． It was forecasted the total carbon emissions and structure of energy consumption of Hainan in 2015—2020． At last，it was also proposed the suggestions on the carbon emissions reduction policies according to the actual conditions in Hainan．
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Key words:
- energy consumption /
- carbon emissions /
- energy structure /
- forecast
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