PREDICTION OF CONSTRUCTION AND DEMOLITION WASTE PRODUCTION AND ANALYSIS OF SPATIAL-TEMPORAL CHARACTERISTICS: A CASE STUDY OF NANJING JIANGBEI NEW AREA
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摘要: 建筑垃圾的产量预测与时空特征分析是制定城市建筑垃圾资源化管理方案的重要参考依据。界定了建筑垃圾的定义与分类,提出基于情景分析的单位建筑面积建筑垃圾产量预测方法,并以南京市江北新区直管区为例,采集控制性详细规划、倾斜摄影地图、地形图、百度全景地图、年度在建施工项目与征收项目清单等基础资料,对江北新区直管区近期(2018年)与远期(2019—2030年)的拆建垃圾产量进行估算与分析;同时借助ArcGIS技术,采用核密度分析实现拆建垃圾空间分布的可视化与特征分析,为后续建筑垃圾资源化处置方案设计提供基础数据与决策依据。Abstract: The prediction of construction and demolition waste (C&D) and analysis of their spatial-temporal characteristics provided important evidence for making the C&D waste resource management plan. This paper defined and classified C&D waste, and took Nanjing Jiangbei New Area as a case, for the prediction of C&D waste. Firstly, the basic data including the regulatory plan, oblique photography map, topographic map, Baidu panoramic map, annual construction project list and the demolition project list were collected. After that, this paper used a unit building area method based on scenario analysis to predict C&D waste production in Nanjing Jiangbei New Area for 2018 and 2019—2030. Finally, GIS technology and the nuclear density analysis were used to visualize the spatial-temporal characteristics of C&D waste. This study could provide basic data and decision basis for designing C&D waste recycling disposal plan.
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