EVALUATION OF OPTIMIZATION POTENTIAL OF URBAN METABOLIC SYSTEM DRIVEN BY “ZERO-WASTE CITY”: A CASE STUDY IN PANJIN, CHINA
-
摘要: “无废城市”建设试点的提出标志着中国“无废社会”战略的实施和落实。采用物质流分析法量化了盘锦市2005—2018年的城市物质代谢;采用层次分析法和熵权法综合评价城市经济、资源、环境子系统的发展水平;借助系统动力学探究“无废城市”综合管理相较于其他发展模式对城市代谢系统优化的多方面潜力。结果表明:盘锦市物质投入产出具有“高投入、高排放、高隐藏流”特点;资源效益发展受限影响着整体城市代谢水平;在“无废城市”综合管理模式下,预计2025年资源产出率将在2018年基础上提高20.29%,环境效率提升4倍,极大地促进城市代谢系统资源、环境、经济层面的优化。Abstract: The proposal of “zero-waste city” construction pilot symbolizes the implementation of the “zero-waste society” strategy in China. In this study, material flow analysis was used to quantify urban material metabolism in Panjin from 2005 to 2018. The comprehensive evaluation of the analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method was adopted to evaluate the development level of the urban economy, resources, and environmental subsystems. Using system dynamics, this paper explored the potential of “zero-waste city” comprehensive management to optimize urban metabolic systems compared with other development modes. The results showed that the material input-output of Panjin had the characteristics of high input, high emission, and high hidden flow. The limited development of resource efficiency affected the overall level of urban metabolism. Under the comprehensive management mode of “zero-waste city”, it was expected to increase resource productivity by 20.29% and environmental efficiency by four times by 2025, based on 2018, greatly promoting the optimization of resources, environment, and economy of the urban metabolic system.
-
[1] BAUD I,GRAFAKOS S,HORDIJK M,et al.Quality of life and alliances in solid waste management:contributions to urban sustainable development[J].Cities,2001,18(1):3-12. [2] CHENG S L,FAN W,MENG F X,et al.Toward low-carbon development:assessing emissions-reduction pressure among Chinese cities[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2020,271:111036. [3] 尹然.基于城市代谢物质流模型的兰州市城市物质流动特征分析[D].兰州:兰州大学,2020. [4] MARANGHI S,PARISI M L,FACCHINI A,et al.Integrating urban metabolism and life cycle assessment to analyse urban sustainability[J].Ecological Indicators,2020,112:106074. [5] WOLMAN A.The metabolism of cities[J].Scientific American 1965,213(3),178-190. [6] SAHELY H R,DUDDING S,KENNEDY C A.Estimating the urban metabolism of Canadian cities:greater Toronto Area case study[J].Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering,2003,30(2):468-483. [7] TACHIBANA J,HIROTA K,GOTO N,et al.A method for regional-scale material flow and decoupling analysis:a demonstration case study of Aichi prefecture,Japan[J].Resources,Conservation and Recycling,2008,52(12):1382-1390. [8] 陈效逑,乔立佳.中国经济—环境系统的物质流分析[J].自然资源学报,2000,15(1):17-23. [9] 鲍智弥.大连市环境—经济系统的物质流分析[D].大连:大连理工大学,2010. [10] WANG X J,LI Y X,LIU N Y,et al.An urban material flow analysis framework and measurement method from the perspective of urban metabolism[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2020,257(6):120564. [11] 刘晓萌,孟祥瑞,汪克亮.城市工业生态效率测度与评价:安徽的实证[J].华东经济管理,2016,30(8):29-34. [12] LI Y X,ZHANG Y,YU X Y.Urban weight and its driving forces:a case study of Beijing[J].Science of the Total Environment,2019,658(MAR.25):590-601. [13] GAO C K,GAO C B,SONG K H,et al.Pathways towards regional circular economy evaluated using material flow analysis and system dynamics-ScienceDirect[J].Resources,Conservation & Recycling,2019,154:104527. [14] GARCÍA-GUAITA F,GONZÁLEZ-GARCÍA S,VILLANUEVA-REY P,et al.Integrating urban metabolism,material flow analysis and life cycle assessment in the environmental evaluation of Santiago de Compostela[J].Sustainable Cities & Society,2018:569-580. [15] GONZÁLEZ-GARCÍA S,RAMA M,MOREIRA M T,et al.Environmental profile of the municipality of Madrid through the methodologies of Urban Metabolism and Life Cycle Analysis[J].Sustainable Cities & Society,2020,64(4):102546. [16] 徐一剑,张天柱,石磊,等.贵阳市物质流分析[J].清华大学学报(自然科学版),2004,44(12):1688-1691,1699. [17] 贾晓晴,胡克,赵奎涛.资源型城市可持续发展的路径选择研究—以盘锦市为例[C]//国际工程和商业管理会议,成都,2010:5. [18] 《辽宁省统计年鉴》编纂委员会.辽宁省统计年鉴 2005—2018[J].辽宁:《辽宁省统计年鉴》编辑部. [19] 《盘锦市统计年鉴》编纂委员会.盘锦市统计年鉴 2005—2018[J].盘锦:《盘锦市统计年鉴》编辑部. [20] 盘锦市国民经济和社会发展统计公报 2005—2018[EB/OL].http://www.tjcn.org/tjgb/06ln/36196.html. [21] 李兆前.地方政府推进循环经济发展的局限性及对策研究:以山东省日照市为例[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2006,16(6):182-187. [22] EUROSTAT.Economy-wide material flow accounts and derived indicators:a methodological guide[R].Office for Official Publications of the European Communities,2001. [23] 石磊,楼俞.城市物质流分析框架及测算方法[J].环境科学研究,2008,21(4):196-200. [24] 郭金玉,张忠彬,孙庆云.层次分析法的研究与应用[J].中国安全科学学报,2008,18(5):148-153. [25] 金子烁,刘虎成,寇巍,等.基于层次分析法和熵权法的中小型沼气工程净化提纯技术筛选[J].可再生能源,2021,39(10):1294-1300. [26] 热孜娅·阿曼,方创琳.基于系统动力学模型的量水发展模式研究:以新疆为例[J].生态经济,2021,37(3):177-186. [27] 袁继鑫.陕西省绿色建筑评价标准实施细则的分析与应用研究[D].西安:长安大学,2012. [28] 李旋旗,花利忠.基于系统动力学的城市住区形态变迁对城市代谢效率的影响[J].生态学报,2012,32(10):2965-2974. [29] KUAI P,LI W,CHENG R H,et al.An application of system dynamics for evaluating planning alternatives to guide a green industrial transformation in a resource-based city[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2015,104:403-412. [30] 钟永光,贾晓菁,钱颖.系统动力学[M].2版.北京:科学出版社,2013. [31] 房科靖.基于MFA-SD的区域循环经济评价分析及仿真研究[D].沈阳:东北大学,2017.
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 104
- HTML全文浏览量: 10
- PDF下载量: 3
- 被引次数: 0