A COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION METHOD OF WASTE INCINERATION POWER PLANT BASED ON DELPHI METHOD AND TOPSIS METHOD
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摘要: 现行生活垃圾焚烧厂的评价标准是在分别考虑对象的工程建设水平和运行管理水平的基础上,根据2个维度的不同权重,再计算综合评分。由于垃圾焚烧电厂间的设计参数存在较大差异,现有评价方法的考量指标以设计参数为主,对评价对象通过专家打分的方式进行评估。指标选择上并未从能效及环保指标的角度考量权重,而专家打分也存在较强的主观性,导致评价结果存在一定的片面性。故通过引入德尔菲法和TOPSIS法,并将其合理结合,从指标确定到指标评价、优劣排序等方面,给出了一种综合评价方法。首先通过德尔菲法,从能效及环保的角度确定评价指标,使评价的维度兼顾经济性及社会性。然后,以德尔菲法由专家根据确定的评价指标对评价对象进行排序,以确定主观评分。再以TOPSIS法对实际评价指标与理想解的偏离性作客观评分。并根据主客观评价的不同权重,计算最终的综合评分。方法可评估多个垃圾焚烧厂的运营情况,并提供兼顾主、客观性的优劣排序,为现行生活垃圾焚烧厂评价工作提供新的评分思路。Abstract: The current evaluation standard of domestic waste incineration plants is based on the project construction level and operation management level of the evaluation object. Then comprehensive scoring method is conducted according to the different weights of the two dimensions. Due to the large differences in design parameters between waste incineration power plants, the existing evaluation methods are mainly based on design parameters, and the evaluation objects are evaluated by experts. Index selection doesn't consider the weights from the perspective of energy efficiency and environmental protection indicators, and the expert scoring also has strong subjectivity. Therefore, the evaluation results are one-sided sometimes. By using the Delphi and TOPSIS method and combining them reasonably, this paper gave a comprehensive evaluation method from the aspects of index determination, index evaluation and ranking different planets. First, using the Delphi method, the evaluation indicators were determined from the perspective of energy efficiency and environmental protection, so that the evaluation dimensions gave consideration to both economic and social aspects. Then, using Delphi method, experts ranked the evaluation objects according to the determined evaluation indicators to give the subjective score. The deviation between the actual evaluation index and the ideal solution was objectively scored by the TOPSIS method. The final comprehensive score was calculated according to the different weights of subjective and objective evaluations. This method was proposed to evaluate the operation of multiple waste incineration plants and provide a subjective and objective ranking. It can provide new scoring ideas for the revision of the current evaluation standards for domestic waste incineration plants.
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Key words:
- waste incineration /
- operation evaluation /
- Delphi method /
- TOPSIS method
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