中国省域碳中和能力评价及实现路径研究

孙宝东; 张军; 春雨童

doi:10.13205/j.hjgc.202310026

中国省域碳中和能力评价及实现路径研究

doi: 10.13205/j.hjgc.202310026

国家能源集团技术经济研究院, 北京 102200

基金项目:

国家能源集团十大软科学研究项目"能源系统模型构建和中国能源展望研究"（GJNY-21-141）；国家社科基金重大项目"碳中和目标驱动下多能互补体系的协同机理与实现路径研究"（21&ZD133）

详细信息

作者简介:
孙宝东(1967-),男,博士,高级工程师,主要研究方向为能源经济环境、煤基能源战略规划等研究工作。12000242@ceic.com

通讯作者:
春雨童(1994-),男,博士,工程师,主要研究方向为能源经济、能源绿色转型等。chunyutong@yeah.net

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- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2022-10-24
- 网络出版日期: 2023-12-26

EVALUATION AND REALIZATION PATH OF PROVINCIAL CARBON NEUTRALITY CAPABILITY IN CHINA

China Energy Technology and Economics Research Institute, China Energy Investment Corporation Ltd., Beijing 102200, China

摘要

摘要: 为科学评估中国省域碳中和能力，基于能源-经济-环境（3E）体系提出了中国省域碳中和能力评价指标体系和改进的TOPSIS方法，通过对我国30个一级行政区（西藏、香港、澳门、台湾除外）碳中和能力的分析评价，验证所提体系方法的有效性，为地方政府实现碳中和提供有益参考。结果表明：改进的TOPSIS方法可以有效评价一个地区的碳中和能力；经济对碳中和能力的影响强于能源和环境；根据碳中和能力强弱可分为优势突出省份、相对均衡省份和部分落后省份，其中优势突出省份以经济发达省份为主，部分落后省份以传统资源型省份为主，各类型省份的碳中和能力提升路径存在差异。
- 碳中和能力 /
- 3E体系 /
- 评价指标体系 /
- TOPSIS
Abstract: In order to scientifically evaluate the carbon neutrality capability of provinces, this paper proposed an evaluation index system for China's provincial carbon neutrality capability based on the energy-economy-environment (3E) system and proposed an improved TOPSIS method. Through the analysis and evaluation of the carbon neutrality capacity of 30 provinces in China, the effectiveness of the proposed method was verified, and suggestions were provided for provincial governments to achieve carbon neutrality. The results showed that the improved TOPSIS method can effectively evaluate the carbon neutrality capacity of a region; the impact of the economy is stronger than energy and environment, on achieving carbon neutrality; according to the sorting of carbon neutrality capability, we can divide the 30 provinces into outstanding provinces, relatively balanced provinces and some backward provinces. Among them, the provinces with prominent advantages are mainly economically developed provinces, while some underdeveloped provinces are mainly traditional resource-based provinces. Each type of province has different paths to enhance carbon neutrality capabilities.
- carbon neutrality capability /
- 3E system /
- evaluation index system /
- TOPSIS

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