基于概率多值中智集和GIS的大型环境类邻避设施两阶段规划选址

高建伟; 孟琪琛; 刘江涛

doi:10.13205/j.hjgc.202312032

基于概率多值中智集和GIS的大型环境类邻避设施两阶段规划选址

doi: 10.13205/j.hjgc.202312032

高建伟^1,2,
孟琪琛^1,2, ,,
刘江涛^1,2

1. 华北电力大学经济与管理学院, 北京 102200;
2. 新能源电力与低碳发展研究北京市重点实验室, 北京 102200

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金"人口老龄化背景下延迟退休政策精算设计及决策方法研究"(72071076)

详细信息

作者简介:
高建伟(1972-),男,教授,主要研究方向为能源环境管理、复杂系统优化决策。gaojianwei111@sina.com

通讯作者:
孟琪琛(1997-),男,博士研究生,主要研究方向为能源环境管理。120222106010@ncepu.edu.cn

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出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2022-11-21
- 网络出版日期: 2024-03-08

A TWO-STAGE PLANNING FOR SITE SELECTION OF LARGE ENVIRONMENTAL NIMBY (NOT IN MY BACKYARD) FACILITIES BASED ON PROBABILISTIC MULTI-VALUED NEUTROSOPHIC SET AND GIS

GAO Jianwei^1,2,
MENG Qichen^{1,2
, ,},
LIU Jiangtao^1,2

1. School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102200, China;
2. Beijing Key Laboratory of New Energy Electricity and Low-carbon Development, Beijing 102200, China

摘要

摘要: 考虑邻避设施选址影响因素之间的关联性和居民对邻避设施在空间距离上的排斥,基于地理信息系统(GIS)和多目标决策理论,构建两阶段优化选址模型。第1阶段,建立包含地理信息因素的综合评价指标体系,采用决策试行与评价实验室法(DEMATEL)确定指标间的影响关系进而计算指标权重,之后使用GIS技术对地理图层叠加处理得到备选区域。第2阶段,引入概率多值中智集的概念对备选区域进行评价,提出基于偏差测度的专家权重计算方法。将基于前景理论的交互式多准则决策方法(TODIM)拓展到概率多值中智集群决策环境中,对备选区域进行排序。最后,以北京市某垃圾焚烧发电项目为例,验证模型的可行性和稳定性,从而为城市规划布局大型环境类邻避设施的选址提供了有力的决策参考。
- 环境类邻避设施选址 /
- GIS /
- 专家权重 /
- DEMATEL /
- 概率多值中智集 /
- TODIM方法
Abstract: At present, large-scale environmental NIMBY facilities have been strongly resisted by the public due to their potential environmental pollution. Considering the correlation between factors influencing NIMBY facility location and residents' rejection of NIMBY facilities in terms of spatial distance, a two-stage location optimal model was constructed based on GIS and multi-objective decision-making theory. In the first stage, a comprehensive evaluation index system including geographic information factors was established, and the influence relationship between indicators was determined by the DEMATEL method to calculate the weight of the indicators. Then, GIS technology was used to superimpose geographical layers to obtain alternative areas. In the second stage, the concept of a multi-valued neutrosophic set was introduced to evaluate the alternative areas, and the expert weight calculation method based on the deviation measure was proposed. The interactive multi-criteria decision method (TODIM) based on the prospect theory was extended to the probabilistic multi-valued intelligent cluster decision-making environment, and then the candidate regions were ranked. Finally, a waste-to-energy project in Beijing was taken as an example, to verify the feasibility and reliability of the model, which provides a powerful reference for the decision-making of large-scale environmental NIMBY facilities in urban planning and layout.
- site selection of environmental NIMBY facilities /
- GIS /
- expert weight /
- DEMATEL /
- probabilistic multi-valued neutrosophic set /
- TODIM method

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参考文献(20)

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