气候变化和人类活动对生态质量影响的定量解析研究：以海南岛为例

许积层; 穆晓东; 马字伟; 胡小飞

doi:10.13205/j.hjgc.202402024

气候变化和人类活动对生态质量影响的定量解析研究：以海南岛为例

doi: 10.13205/j.hjgc.202402024

1. 海南省环境科学研究院, 海口 570100;
2. 生态环境部卫星环境应用中心, 北京 100094

详细信息

作者简介:
许积层(1988-),男,工程师,主要研究方向为空间规划、生态遥感。jicxu@sina.com

通讯作者:
穆晓东(1986-),男,高级工程师,主要研究方向为空间规划、生态遥感。hnmuxd@hainan.gov.cn

计量
- 文章访问数: 67
- HTML全文浏览量: 3
- PDF下载量: 5
- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2023-09-20
- 网络出版日期: 2024-04-28

QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND HUMAN ACTIVITIES ON ECOLOGICAL QUALITY: A CASE STUDY OF HAINAN ISLAND

1. Hainan Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Haikou 570100, China;
2. Satellite Application Center for Ecology and Environment, Beijing 100094, China

摘要

摘要: 气候变化和人类活动在生态系统变化中产生协同影响,难以区分。以海南岛为案例,使用残差趋势法,测量生态质量实际和潜在趋势的残差,量化气候变化和人类活动的相对贡献。结果表明:2002—2020年海南岛生态质量总体呈上升趋势,其中54.09%区域生态质量呈显著改善趋势,而4.33%区域生态质量呈显著下降趋势。人类活动对海南岛生态质量变化的贡献率为85.93%(P<0.05),而气候变化对海南岛生态质量变化的贡献率为14.07%(P<0.05)。人类活动在海南岛生态质量变化中起到了主导作用。生态质量改善区域,森林生态系统增加、农田生态系统减少,主要人类活动为先后实施海防林建设、人工商品林建设、生态保护红线划定等生态保护措施,如临高县等;而生态质量下降区域,森林生态系统减少、农田和城镇生态系统增加,主要人为活动为开垦开发建设活动,如海口市等。研究成果对于科学管理生态系统和应对气候变化具有重要意义。
- 生态质量 /
- 气候变化 /
- 人类活动 /
- 海南岛
Abstract: The synergistic effects of climate change and human activities on ecosystem changes are difficult to distinguish. Focusing on this scientific issue, this study uses Hainan Island as a case study to measure the residuals of actual and potential trends in ecological quality, and quantify the relative contributions of climate factors and human activities with the residual trend method. The results show that the overall ecological quality of Hainan Island has been on an upward trend from 2002 to 2020, with 54.09% of the regional ecological quality showing a significant improvement trend, and 4.33% showing a significant decline trend. The contribution rate of human activities to the change in ecological quality on Hainan Island is 85.93%(P<0.05), while the contribution rate of climate change is 14.07%(P<0.05).Human activities have played a dominant role in the change of ecological quality on Hainan Island. Areas experiencing ecological quality improvement have seen a rise in forest ecosystems and a corresponding decline in farmland ecosystems. The main anthropogenic activities responsible for this are the sequential implementation of coastal defense forest construction, commercial plantation establishment, and the delineation of ecological protection red lines, such as Lingao County. Areas experiencing a decline in ecological quality have witnessed a reduction in forest ecosystems accompanied by an expansion of farmland and urban ecosystems. The primary human activity leading to this change is land reclamation and urban development through construction activities, such as Haikou. This study is of great significance for the scientific management of ecosystems and the response to climate change.
- ecological quality /
- climate change /
- human activities /
- Hainan Island

HTML全文

参考文献(39)

[1]	MYERS N,MITTERMEIER R A,MITTERMEIER C G,et al.Biodiversity hotspots for conservation priorities[J].Nature,2000,403(6772):853-858.
[2]	GENG J,YUAN M,XU S,et al.Urban expansion was the main driving force for the decline in ecosystem services in Hainan Island during 1980—2015[J].International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health,2022,19(23):15665.
[3]	朱华,周虹霞.西双版纳热带雨林与海南热带雨林的比较研究[J].植物多样性,2002,24(1):1-3.
[4]	ZHAI N,HOU N,CAO N,et al.Ecosystem assessment and protection effectiveness of a tropical rainforest region in Hainan Island,China[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2018,28(4):415-428.
[5]	侯鹏,翟俊,曹巍,等.国家重点生态功能区生态状况变化与保护成效评估:以海南岛中部山区国家重点生态功能区为例[J].地理学报,2018,73(3):429-441.
[6]	侯鹏,杨旻,翟俊,等.论自然保护地与国家生态安全格局构建[J].地理研究,2017,36(3):420-428.
[7]	OUYANG Z,ZHAO T,ZHAO J,et al.Ecological regulation services of Hainan Island ecosystem and their valuation[J].The journal of applied ecology,2004,15(8):1395-1402.
[8]	ZHAI D L,CA NNON C H,SLIK J,et al.Rubber and pulp plantations represent a double threat to Hainan's natural tropical forests[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2012,96(1):64-73.
[9]	CHEN B,LI X,XIAO X,et al.Mapping tropical forests and deciduous rubber plantations in Hainan Island,China by integrating PALSAR 25-m and multi-temporal Landsat images[J].International journal of applied earth observation and geoinformation,2016,50:117-130.
[10]	LIU Q,YANG D,CAO L,et al.Assessment and prediction of carbon storage based on land use/land cover dynamics in the tropics:a case study of Hainan Island,China[J].Land,2022,11(2):1-24.
[11]	GONG W,DUAN X,SUN Y,et al.Multi-scenario simulation of land use/cover change and carbon storage assessment in Hainan coastal zone from perspective of free trade port construction[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2023,385:135630.
[12]	SUN R,WU Z,CHEN B,et al.Effects of land-use change on eco-environmental quality in Hainan Island,China[J].Ecological Indicators,2020,109:1-11.
[13]	CHEN J,CHEN N,CAI F.Sanya,China:tropical climate and the rise of a small city[J].Cities,2022,123:103589.
[14]	LIN X,FU H.Spatial-temporal evolution and driving forces of cultivated land based on the plus model:a case study of Haikou City,1980—2020[J].Sustainability,2022,14(21):14284.
[15]	CHU L,OLOO F,BERGSTEDT H,et al.Assessing the link between human modification and changes in land surface temperature in Hainan,China using image archives from google earth engine[J].Remote Sensing,2020,12(5):888.
[16]	CHU L,OLOO F,CHEN B,et al.Assessing the influence of tourism-driven activities on environmental variables on Hainan Island,China[J].Remote Sensing,2020,12(17):2813.
[17]	OLANO J M,BRITO P,GONZÁLEZ-RODRÍGUEZ Á M,et al.Thirsty peaks:drought events drive keystone shrub decline in an oceanic island mountain[J].Biological Conservation,2017,215:99-106.
[18]	LUO H,DAI S,LI M,et al.NDVI-based analysis of the influence of climate changes and human activities on vegetation variation on hainan island[J].Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing,2021,49(8):1755-1767.
[19]	GE W,DENG L,WANG F,et al.Quantifying the contributions of human activities and climate change to vegetation net primary productivity dynamics in China from 2001 to 2016[J].Sci Total Environ,2021,773:145648.
[20]	ZHAO S,PEREIRA P,WU X,et al.Global karst vegetation regime and its response to climate change and human activities[J].Ecological Indicators,2020,113:106208.
[21]	WANG Y,ZHANG Z,CHEN X.The dominant driving force of forest change in the yangtze river basin,china:climate variation or anthropogenic activities?[J].Forests,2022,13(1):82.
[22]	LIU F H,XU C Y,YANG X X,et al.Controls of climate and land-use change on terrestrial net primary productivity variation in a subtropical humid basin[J].Remote Sensing,2020,12(21):3525.
[23]	JIANG H,XU X,ZHANG T,et al.The relative roles of climate variation and human activities in vegetation dynamics in coastal China from 2000 to 2019[J].Remote Sensing,2022,14(10):2485.
[24]	GUO P,ZHAO X,SHI J,et al.The influence of temperature and precipitation on the vegetation dynamics of the tropical island of Hainan[J].Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2020,143(1/2):429-445.
[25]	侯鹏,王桥,申文明,等.生态系统综合评估研究进展:内涵,框架与挑战[J].地理研究,2015,34(10):1809-1823.
[26]	YANG J,HUANG X.The 30 m annual land cover datasets and its dynamics in China from 1985 to 2022[J].Earth System Science Data,2023,13(1):3907-3925.
[27]	生态环境部.全国生态状况调查评估技术规范:生态系统质量评估:HJ 1172—2021[S].2021:1-6.
[28]	LIU Y,LIU H,CHEN Y,et al.Quantifying the contributions of climate change and human activities to vegetation dynamic in China based on multiple indices[J].Sci Total Environ,2022,838:156553.
[29]	WEI Y,SUN S,LIANG D,et al.Spatial-temporal variations of NDVI and its response to climate in China from 2001 to 2020[J].International Journal of Digital Earth,2022,15(1):1463-1484.
[30]	HORION S,CORNET Y,ERPICUM M,et al.Studying interactions between climate variability and vegetation dynamic using a phenology based approach[J].International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,2013,20:20-32.
[31]	LI C,LI X,LUO D,et al.Spatiotemporal pattern of vegetation ecology quality and its response to climate change between 2000—2017 in China[J].Sustainability,2021,13(3):1419.
[32]	FU J,ZHANG Q,WANG P,et al.Spatio-temporal changes in ecosystem service value and its coordinated development with economy:a case study in Hainan Province,China[J].Remote Sensing,2022,14(4):970.
[33]	朱清,毛召锋.土地利用转型过程及其对区域生态质量的影响分析:以巢湖市为例[J].测绘与空间地理信息,2019,42(11):58-62 ,65.
[34]	王静,周伟奇,许开鹏,等.京津冀地区的生态质量定量评价[J].应用生态学报,2017,28(8):2667-2676.
[35]	汲玉河,周广胜,王树东,等.2000—2019年秦岭地区植被生态质量演变特征及驱动力分析[J].植物生态学报,2021,45(6):617-625.
[36]	周立华,刘洋.中国生态建设回顾与展望[J].生态学报,2021,41(8):3306-3314.
[37]	侯鹏,高吉喜,陈妍,等.中国生态保护政策发展历程及其演进特征[J].生态学报,2021,41(4):1656-1667.
[38]	曹云,孙应龙,陈紫璇,等.2000—2020年黄河流域植被生态质量变化及其对极端气候的响应[J].生态学报,2022,42(11):4524-4535.
[39]	余中元.海岛社会生态系统特征及可持续发展研究:以海南岛为例[J].海南师范大学学报:自然科学版,2019,32(3):340-348.