Core Chinese Journal
Source Journal of CSCD(Core Version)
Source Journal for Chinese Scientific and Technical Papers
Core Journal of RCCSE
Included in JST China
Volume 39 Issue 10
Jan.  2022
Turn off MathJax
Article Contents
XIA Chu-yu, MA Dong, CAI Bo-feng, CHEN Bin, LIU Hui, YANG Lu, LV Chen. ANALYSIS OF CARBON EMISSIONS ABATEMENT TECHNOLOGY AND COST IN ROAD TRANSPORT SECTOR OF CHINA[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING , 2021, 39(10): 50-56,63. doi: 10.13205/j.hjgc.202110007
Citation: XIA Chu-yu, MA Dong, CAI Bo-feng, CHEN Bin, LIU Hui, YANG Lu, LV Chen. ANALYSIS OF CARBON EMISSIONS ABATEMENT TECHNOLOGY AND COST IN ROAD TRANSPORT SECTOR OF CHINA[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING , 2021, 39(10): 50-56,63. doi: 10.13205/j.hjgc.202110007

ANALYSIS OF CARBON EMISSIONS ABATEMENT TECHNOLOGY AND COST IN ROAD TRANSPORT SECTOR OF CHINA

doi: 10.13205/j.hjgc.202110007
  • Received Date: 2021-05-26
    Available Online: 2022-01-26
  • As an important source of carbon emissions in the transportation sector, road transportation will take on important responsibilities in the process of achieving the goal of Carbon Peak and Carbon Neutrality. Research on the cost of carbon emission reduction technologies is conducive to balancing the development of road traffic motorization and the realization of this goal, which is an important measure to realize the sustainable development of road transport. This research divided vehicles into passenger cars, commercial buses, light commercial trucks and heavy commercial trucks, and then analyzed reduction potential and cost of the engine technology, transmission technology, auxiliary system technology, vehicle technology and new energy vehicle applications on these vehicles, and finally established the MAC curve of my country's road transport carbon emissions from 2020 to 2035. The main conclusions are as follows:1) the same vehicle energy saving and emission reduction technology had the lowest unit carbon emissions abatement cost when applied to heavy commercial truck. Meanwhile, the application of new energy vehicles in passenger cars had great potential for emission reduction, but it did not occupy a cost advantage compared with other models. 2)the unit carbon emissions abatement cost of fuel cell new energy vehicles was much higher than that of pure electric and plug-in hybrid new energy vehicles. In the future, it was necessary to reduce the production cost of fuel cells and the cost of hydrogen preparation, storage and transportation. 3) the total carbon emissions abatement costs first increased and then decreased, which indicated that with the reasonable promotion of energy-saving emission reduction technologies, the resistance to emission reduction in this sector was declining.
  • loading
  • [1]
    IEA. Tracking Transport 2020[R]. Paris, 2020.
    [2]
    生态环境部. 《中国移动源环境管理年报(2020)》[R]. 北京, 2020.
    [3]
    IEA. Net Zero by 2050 A Roadmap for the Global Energy Sector[R]. Paris,2021.
    [4]
    陈诗一. 边际减排成本与中国环境税改革[J]. 中国社会科学, 2011(3):85-100.
    [5]
    魏楚. 中国城市CO2边际减排成本及其影响因素[J]. 世界经济, 2014, 37(7):115-141.
    [6]
    KESICKI F, STRACHAN N. Marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves:confronting theory and practice[J]. Environmental science & policy, 2011, 14(8):1195-1204.
    [7]
    BRUNKE J C, BLESL M. Energy conservation measures for the German cement industry and their ability to compensate for rising energy-related production costs[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2014, 82:94-111.
    [8]
    HASANBEIGI A, MORROW W, MASANET E, et al. Energy efficiency improvement and CO2 emission reduction opportunities in the cement industry in China[J]. Energy Policy, 2013, 57:287-297.
    [9]
    FAN Y, PENG B B, XU J H. The effect of technology adoption on CO2 abatement costs under uncertainty in China's passenger car sector[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2017, 154:578-592.
    [10]
    PENG B B, FAN Y, XU J H. Integrated assessment of energy efficiency technologies and CO2 abatement cost curves in China's road passenger car sector[J]. Energy Conversion and Management, 2016, 109:195-212.
    [11]
    DU H B, LI Q, LIU X, et al. Costs and potentials of reducing CO2 emissions in China's transport sector:Findings from an energy system analysis[J]. Energy, 2021,234:121163.
    [12]
    GOPAL A R, PARK W Y, WITT M, et al. Hybrid-and battery-electric vehicles offer low-cost climate benefits in China[J]. Transportation Research Part D:Transport and Environment, 2018, 62:362-371.
    [13]
    蔡闻佳, 王灿, 陈吉宁. 中国公路交通业CO2排放情景与减排潜力[J]. 清华大学学报(自然科学版), 2007,47(12):2142-2145.
    [14]
    杨方, 于雷, 宋国华, 等. 基于存活概率的动态车龄分布模型[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2005, 15(6):24-27

    ,39.
    [15]
    刘森, 朱向雷, 徐国强. 基于威布尔分布的轿车存活概率模型研究[J]. 产业与科技论坛, 2012,11(18):122-124.
    [16]
    LIU F Q, ZHAO F H, LIU Z W, et al. The impact of purchase restriction policy on car ownership in china's four major cities[J]. Journal of advanced transportation, 2020.
    [17]
    PENG B B, XU J H, FAN Y. Modeling uncertainty in estimation of carbon dioxide abatement costs of energy-saving technologies for passenger cars in China[J]. Energy Policy, 2018, 113:306-319.
    [18]
    LI Y F, KIMURA S. Economic competitiveness and environmental implications of hydrogen energy and fuel cell electric vehicles in ASEAN countries:the current and future scenarios[J]. Energy Policy, 2021, 148:111980.
    [19]
    ROSENBERG E, FIDJE A, ESPEGREN K A, et al. Market penetration analysis of hydrogen vehicles in Norwegian passenger transport towards 2050[J]. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2010, 35(14):7267-7279.
    [20]
    COUNCIL N R. Assessment of Fuel Economy Technologies for Light-duty Vehicles[M]. National Academies Press, 2011.
    [21]
    ADMINISTRATION N H A T S. Preliminary Regulatory Impact Analysis:Corporate Average Fuel Economy for MY 2011-2015. Passenger Cars and Light Trucks[R]. Washington, D.C:U.S. Department of Transportation, 2008.
    [22]
    中国汽车技术研究中心. 重型商用车辆第三阶段燃料消耗量限值标准研究报告[R]. 北京, 2016.
    [23]
    工业和信息化部. 中国汽车燃料消耗量趋势年报[R]. 北京, 2016.
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Article Metrics

    Article views (285) PDF downloads(26) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return