PREDICTION OF AIR POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS IN XUZHOU BASED ON CEEMD-BiGRU MODEL

WU Zi-bo; CUI Yun-xia; CAO Wei-qi; PENG Xin; ZHAO Xiu-qi-zhi-zhen

doi:10.13205/j.hjgc.202209002

Volume 40 Issue 9

Nov. 2022

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WU Zi-bo, CUI Yun-xia, CAO Wei-qi, PENG Xin, ZHAO Xiu-qi-zhi-zhen. PREDICTION OF AIR POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS IN XUZHOU BASED ON CEEMD-BiGRU MODEL[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING , 2022, 40(9): 9-18. doi: 10.13205/j.hjgc.202209002

Citation:

WU Zi-bo, CUI Yun-xia, CAO Wei-qi, PENG Xin, ZHAO Xiu-qi-zhi-zhen. PREDICTION OF AIR POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS IN XUZHOU BASED ON CEEMD-BiGRU MODEL[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING , 2022, 40(9): 9-18. doi: 10.13205/j.hjgc.202209002

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PREDICTION OF AIR POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS IN XUZHOU BASED ON CEEMD-BiGRU MODEL

doi: 10.13205/j.hjgc.202209002

School of Environment, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China

Received Date: 2022-01-21
Available Online: 2022-11-09

Abstract

Abstract

The current impact of air pollutants on the regional economy and human health cannot be ignored. This paper selected data on atmospheric pollutants and meteorological elements in Xuzhou from January 1, 2016 to January 24, 2021. Given the characteristics of strong fluctuation of atmospheric pollutant concentration, the pollutant data were decomposed into intrinsic mode fuction by using complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition(CEEMD), and various features of the original data were extracted. Each decomposed intrinsic mode fuction was used as the input layer of the bidirectional gated recurrent model(BiGRU). Through bidirectional cyclic training, the characteristic trend of each component was learned and the optimal training parameters were obtained. The output results of each intrinsic mode fuction were reconstructed to obtain the final predicted value. The results showed that compared with the BiGRU and BP models, MAE, RMSE and MAPE of each air pollutant predicted by CEEMD-BiGRU model were reduced by more than 15%, 20% and 2 percentage points, and the prediction accuracy was greatly improved. On this basis, CEEMD-BiGRU model was used to predict the residuals of the latter period to correct the original prediction values and obtain the upper bound of the prediction interval for air pollutants, further to extend the applicability of the model.
- air pollutant prediction,
- complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD),
- BiGRU,
- interval prediction

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References(32)

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